Satellite image analysis and a hybrid ESSS/ANN model to forecast solar irradiance in the tropics

Energy Conversion and Management(2014)

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摘要
•Satellite image analysis is performed and cloud cover index is classified using self-organizing maps (SOM).•The ESSS model is used to forecast cloud cover index.•Solar irradiance is estimated using multi-layer perceptron (MLP).•The proposed model shows better accuracy than other investigated models.
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关键词
Hourly solar irradiance forecasting,Satellite image analysis,Self-organizing maps,Exponential smoothing state space model,Multi-layer perceptron
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