Assessing a Bayesian risk prediction model in a high-risk breast cancer population.

The purpose of this study was to utilize a Bayesian risk prediction model to predict the incidence of breast cancer in a high risk population. 10-fold cross-validation was performed using a Naïve Bayes classifier. The area under the ROC curve (AUC) was used to measure prediction accuracy. These results were then compared to the ROC curve (AUC) results of the Gail Model Risk Assessment Tool.