A comprehensive mechanistic model of adipocyte signaling with layers of confidence

Adipocyte cellular signaling, normally and in type 2 diabetes, is far from fully studied. We have earlier developed detailed dynamic mathematical models for some well-studied, and partially overlapping, signaling pathways in adipocytes. Still, these models only cover a fraction of the total cellular response. For a broader coverage of the response, large-scale phosphoproteomic data is key. There exists such data for the insulin response of adipocytes, as well as prior knowledge on possible protein-protein interactions associated with a confidence level. However, methods to combine detailed dynamic models with large-scale data, using information about the confidence of included interactions, are lacking. In our new method, we first establish a core model by connecting our partially overlapping models of adipocyte cellular signaling with focus on: 1) lipolysis and fatty acid release, 2) glucose uptake, and 3) the release of adiponectin. We use the phosphoproteome data and prior knowledge to identify phosphosites adjacent to the core model, and then try to add the adjacent phosphosites to the model. The additions of the adjacent phosphosites is tested in a parallel, pairwise approach with low computation time. We then iteratively collect the accepted additions into a layer , and use the newly added layer to find new adjacent phosphosites. We find that the first 15 layers (60 added phosphosites) with the highest confidence can correctly predict independent inhibitor-data (70-90 % correct), and that this ability decrease when we add layers of decreasing confidence. In total, 60 layers (3926 phosphosites) can be added to the model and still keep predictive ability. Finally, we use the comprehensive adipocyte model to simulate systems-wide alterations in adipocytes in type 2 diabetes. This new method provide a tool to create large models that keeps track of varying confidence. ### Competing Interest Statement The authors have declared no competing interest.