Parameter estimation of the stochastic AMR model and its application to the study of several strong earthquakes
Acta Seismologica Sinica(2004)
摘要
Based on the stochastic AMR model, this paper constructs man-made earthquake catalogues to investigate the property of parameter estimation of the model. Then the stochastic AMR model is applied to the study of several strong earthquakes in China and New Zealand. Akaike’s AIC criterion is used to discriminate whether an accelerating mode of earthquake activity precedes those events or not. Finally, regional accelerating seismic activity and possible prediction approach for future strong earthquakes are discussed.
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关键词
stochastic AMR model, parameter estimation, maximum likelihood, AIC criterion, strong earthquake
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