Power-law singularity as a possible catastrophe warning observed in rock experiments
International Journal of Rock Mechanics and Mining Sciences(2013)
Abstract
The question which type of signals can be determinately related to catastrophic rupture in heterogeneous brittle media still remains open. Here we report a specific precursor of catastrophic rupture, i.e. a power-law singularity of responses, based on rock experiments. Our experimental observations show that the singularity with power exponent −β, where β=0.51±0.10 (mean±s.d.), appears ahead of catastrophic rupture in some rocks, and the singularity does not appear at all for gradual failure. It is indicated that the power-law singularity can emerge well only close to catastrophic rupture and thus it could serve as a specific warning for catastrophic rupture. To address the potential forewarning of imminent catastrophic rupture, a fitting process based on the data before catastrophic rupture was developed to determine the two unknowns related to the occurrence, catastrophe point UF and the power exponent −βu. It is demonstrated that the power-law singularity appears only in the vicinity of catastrophe, and that the power-law singularity does not occur for gradual failure.
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Key words
Power law singularity,Catastrophic rupture,Precursor,Specific warning,Earthquake forecasting
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