Network security status forecasting and its application in intelligent defense

Concerning the application of network security status prediction to Intelligent Security Defense Software (ISDS),this paper introduced a new prediction algorithm based on GM(1,1) and Markov models.Firstly,the GM(1,1) model was used to predict the original status value.Then,the Markov model was used for error compensation.And the simulation experiment proves that this prediction algorithm is good at status prediction and suitable for intelligent defense application.