Geographical Relations Dynamics (2) - energy, GHG, and food with the world trade in 2030
EEESD '07: PROCEEDINGS OF THE 3RD IASME/WSEAS INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON ENERGY, ENVIRONMENT, ECOSYSTEMS AND SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT(2007)
Abstract
In the early 1970 ' s, D. L. Meadows and his colleagues have selected population, food, fuel (natural resources), and environment as the parameters to run their "the World Dynamics". The author attempts to present Geographical Relations Dynamics to study how various regions on Earth interact each other in time series. In this system, the world consists of 90 regions which have four layers, a layer of the underground non-renewable natural resources (represented by energy in Kcal unit), that of the biosphere-atmosphere-ocean system (the Nature, represented by green house gas emission), that of the man-made food production (the Civilization, by food production in Kcal), and that of the man-made value system with several digit binary indicators representing diet (vegetaxian/non-vegetarian), national security (militarized/non-militaxized) and environmental policies (regulatory/non-regulatory). Using this system, the author estimates the regionally unbalanced situation of population, GHS (CO2) emission, energy (production, consumption, and the world trade), food production, consumption, and the world trade) region by region around 1930. To compensate the surplus and deficit in energy and food, the author proposed to operate the world trade matrix to estimate the interregional logistics. Then, some feasible solutions should be sought through international redistribution (trade) of food and fuel as well as through the modification of value system.
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Key words
world dynamics,Geographical Relations Dynamics,GHG (green house gas),international trade matrix
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