Markov method for generating capacity reliability evaluation including operating considerations

A new approach is introduced for calculating the generation system reliability indices such as loss of load expectation, frequency of load loss and the mean duration. The Markov approach is used for modelling the generation and load to include the effect of operating considerations such as unit duty cycle, start-up failure probability and start-up delay. A computer program has been developed to implement the Markov approach. This method is compared with recursive techniques and a close agreement between the results is obtained.