Using simulation models to address ?what if? questions about welfare reform

JOURNAL OF POLICY ANALYSIS AND MANAGEMENT(2004)

引用 71|浏览25
暂无评分
摘要
Journal of Policy Analysis and ManagementVolume 23, Issue 4 p. 890-901 Professional Practice Using simulation models to address “what if” questions about welfare reform A.A. Zagonel, A.A. Zagonel Sandia National LaboratoriesSearch for more papers by this authorJ. Rohrbaugh, J. Rohrbaugh Rockefeller College State University of New YorkSearch for more papers by this authorG.P. Richardson, G.P. Richardson Rockefeller College State University of New YorkSearch for more papers by this authorD.F. Andersen, D.F. Andersen State University of New YorkSearch for more papers by this author A.A. Zagonel, A.A. Zagonel Sandia National LaboratoriesSearch for more papers by this authorJ. Rohrbaugh, J. Rohrbaugh Rockefeller College State University of New YorkSearch for more papers by this authorG.P. Richardson, G.P. Richardson Rockefeller College State University of New YorkSearch for more papers by this authorD.F. Andersen, D.F. Andersen State University of New YorkSearch for more papers by this author First published: 25 August 2004 https://doi.org/10.1002/pam.20054Citations: 46AboutPDF ToolsRequest permissionExport citationAdd to favoritesTrack citation ShareShare Give accessShare full text accessShare full-text accessPlease review our Terms and Conditions of Use and check box below to share full-text version of article.I have read and accept the Wiley Online Library Terms and Conditions of UseShareable LinkUse the link below to share a full-text version of this article with your friends and colleagues. Learn more.Copy URL REFERENCES Allers, R., Johnson, R., Andersen, D.F., Lee, T.P., Richardson, G.P., Rohrbaugh, J., & Zagonel, A.A. (1998). Group model building to support welfare reform, Part II: Dutchess County. Proceedings of the 16th international conference of the system dynamics society, Québec City, QC, Canada. Albany, NY: System Dynamics Society. Andersen, D.F., & Richardson, G.P. (1997). Scripts for group model-building. System Dynamics Review, 13(2), 107– 129. Andersen, D.F., Richardson, G.P., Rohrbaugh, J., Zagonel, A.A., & Lee, T.P. (2000). The impact of US welfare reform on states and counties: Group facilitated system dynamics modeling, policy analysis and implementation. GDN 2000, INFORMS Section on Group Decision and Negotiation. University of Strathclyde. Glasgow, Scotland. Bane, M.J. (2001). Expertise, advocacy and deliberation: Lesson from welfare reform. Journal of Policy Analysis and Management, 20, 191– 197. Bane, M.J., & Ellwood, D.T. (1994). Welfare realities: From rhetoric to reform. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press. Baum, E.B. (1991). When the witch doctors agree: The Family Support Act and social science research. Journal of Policy Analysis and Management, 10, 603– 615. Bloom, D., & Michalopoulos, C. (2001). How welfare and work policies affect employment and income: A synthesis of research. New York: Manpower Demonstration Research Corporation. ESR (1998). Understanding welfare. Empire State Report, (January), 17. Forrester, J.W. (1971). Counterintuitive behavior of social systems. Technology Review, 73(3), 52– 68. Forrester, J.W., & Senge, P.M. (1980). Tests for building confidence in system dynamics models. In A.A. Legasto, J.W. Forrester, & J.M. Lyneis (Eds.), System dynamics (pp. 209– 228). TIMS Studies in the Management Sciences 14. New York: North-Holland. Greenberg, D.H., Michalopoulos, C., & Robins, P.K. (2001). A meta-analysis of government-sponsored training programs. Baltimore: University of Maryland. Grogger, J., Karoly, L.A., & Klerman, J.A. (2002). Consequences of welfare reform: A research synthesis. Santa Monica, CA: Rand Corporation. Gueron, J.M. (2002). The politics of random assignment. In Mosteller & Boruch (Eds.), Evidence matters: Randomized trials in education research (pp. 15– 49). Washington, DC: Brookings Institution Press. Gueron, J.M. (2003). Fostering research excellence and impacting policy and practice: The welfare reform story. Journal of Policy Analysis and Management, 22(2), 163– 174. Gueron, J.M., & Pauly, E. (1991). From welfare to work. New York: Russell Sage Foundation. R.G. Hollister, P. Kemper, & R. Maynard (Eds.) (1984). The National Supported Work Demonstration. Madison: University of Wisconsin Press. Huz, S., Andersen, D.F., Richardson, G.P., & Boothroyd, R. (1997). A framework for evaluating systems thinking interventions: Lessons from a pilot test of an experimental approach. System Dynamics Review, 13(2), 149– 169. Lee, T.P. (2001). The dynamics of New York State social welfare reform finance at the county level: A feedback view of system behavior. Proceedings of the 19th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society. Atlanta, Georgia. Albany, NY: System Dynamics Society. Lee, T.P., Zagonel, A.A., Andersen, D.F., Rohrbaugh, J., & Richardson, G.P. (1998a). A judgment approach to estimating parameters in group model-building: A case study of social welfare reform at Dutchess County. Proceedings of the 16th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society. Québec City, QC, Canada. Albany, NY: System Dynamics Society. Lee, T.P., Andersen, D.F., Rohrbaugh, J., & Zagonel, A.A. (1998b). Parameter booklet for the Nassau County joined TANF and safety net model (September). Welfare Reform Project. Center for Policy Research, University at Albany. Lee, T.P., Andersen, D.F., Rohrbaugh, J., & Zagonel, A.A. (1998c). Parameter booklet for the Dutchess County joined TANF and safety net model (April). Welfare Reform Project. Center for Policy Research, University at Albany. Pavetti, L. (1993). The dynamics of welfare and work: Exploring the process by which women work their way off welfare. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University. Reagan-Cirincione, P., Schuman, S., Richardson, G.P., & Dorf, S. (1991). Decision modeling: Tools for strategic thinking. Interfaces, 21(6), 52– 65. Richardson, G.P., & Andersen, D.F. (1995). Teamwork in group model-building. System Dynamics Review, 11(2), 113– 137. Richardson, G.P., Andersen, D.F., & Wu, Y.J. (2002). Misattribution in welfare dynamics: The puzzling dynamics of recidivism. Proceedings of the 20th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society. Palermo, Italy. Albany, NY: System Dynamics Society. Richardson, G.P., & Pugh, A.L. III (1981). Introduction to system dynamics modeling with DYNAMO. Cambridge, MA: Productivity Press. Rogers, J., Johnson, R., Zagonel, A.A., Rohrbaugh, J., Andersen, D.F., Richardson, G.P., & Lee, T.P. (1997). Group model-building to support welfare reform in Cortland County. Proceedings of the 15th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society. Istanbul, Turkey. Albany, NY: System Dynamics Society. Rohrbaugh, J. (2000). The use of system dynamics in decision conferencing: Implementing welfare reform in New York State. In G.D. Garson (Ed.), Handbook of public information systems (pp. 521– 533). New York: Marcel Dekker. Rohrbaugh, J., & Johnson, R. (1998). Welfare reform flies in New York. Government Technology, (June), 58. Senge, P.M. (1990). The fifth discipline: The art and practice of the learning organization. New York: Doubleday. Sterman, J.D. (2000). Business dynamics: Systems thinking and modeling for a complex world. Boston, MA: McGraw-Hill. Vennix, J.A.M. (1996). Group model building: Facilitating team learning using system dynamics. Chichester: Wiley & Sons. Vennix, J.A.M., Andersen, D.F., & Richardson, G.P. (Eds.). (1997). Group model building. System Dynamics Review, 13(2), 103– 106. Vennix, J.A.M., Andersen, D.F., Richardson, G.P., & Rohrbaugh J. (1992). Model building for group decision-support: Issues and alternatives in knowledge elicitation. European Journal of Operations Research, 59(1), 28– 41. Weaver, R.K. (2000). Ending welfare as we know it. Washington, DC: Brookings Institution Press. Zagonel, A.A. (2002). Model conceptualization in group model-building: A review of the literature exploring the tension between representing reality and negotiating a social order. Proceedings of the 20th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society. Palermo, Italy. Albany, NY: System Dynamics Society. Zagonel, A.A. (2003). Using group model-building to inform welfare reform policy making in New York State: A critical look. Proceedings of the 21st International Conference of the System Dynamics Society. New York City. Albany, NY: System Dynamics Society. Citing Literature Volume23, Issue4Autumn (Fall) 2004Pages 890-901 ReferencesRelatedInformation
更多
查看译文
关键词
simulation model
AI 理解论文
溯源树
样例
生成溯源树,研究论文发展脉络
Chat Paper
正在生成论文摘要