Time series forecast and factors modeling in chaidamu basin

Depending on the Land Resource Survey project Ground Water Resources and Environment Problems Surveying and Evaluation in Chaidamu Basin,focus on the development and application of Time Series forecast V1.0,according to modern predict theory,it is forcasted the future 100 years of time series factors,such as hydrology and meteorological factors,in the Basin.Pointing at many factors evaluate model,it is put forward and adopted an advanced method of Principal Component Analysis;and established the reciprocity relationship between Eigenvectors andComprehensive index.Thus,the evaluate model can be avoided interference factor by men,anhanced the confidence of forecasting result.