Research on Customers Demand Forecasting for E-business Web Site Based on LS-SVM

Guangzhou City(2008)

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Abstract
This paper introduces a novel customers' demand forecasting model based on least squares support vector machines (LS-SVM) for e-business enterprises. Firstly, the paper presents actual state of e-business, and discusses some factors that block e-business advance in China. Then, some common techniques used for forecasting are briefly reviewed together with their shortcomings respectively. To solve these disadvantages, the paper reviews the fundamental theory of least squares support vector machines for regression, and analyses some merits of the theory. At last, based on the theory, the paper proposes a forecasting model to forecast pure water demand in a week for an e-business website. Compared with linear neural network predictor, RBF neural network predictor and BP neural network predictor, the LS-SVM forecasting model shows outstanding performance in simulation and practical results.
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Key words
Web sites,backpropagation,electronic commerce,least squares approximations,radial basis function networks,support vector machines,BP neural network predictor,LS-SVM,RBF neural network predictor,customers demand forecasting,e-business Web site,least squares support vector machines,linear neural network predictor,regression analysis,E-business,LS-SVM,customers demand,forecasting,
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